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Prototype Prescribing Outlier Dashboard for Cheltenham Peripheral PCN

At OpenPrescribing we are piloting a number of data-driven approaches to identify unusual prescribing and collect feedback on this prescribing to inform development of new tools to support prescribers and organisations to audit and review prescribing. These pilot results are provided for the interest of advanced users, although we don't know how relevant they are in practice. There is substantial variation in prescribing behaviours, across various different areas of medicine. Some variation can be explained by demographic changes, or local policies or guidelines, but much of the remaining variation is less easy to explain.

The DataLab is keen to hear your feedback on the results. You can do this by completing the following survey or emailing us at [email protected]. Please DO NOT INCLUDE IDENTIFIABLE PATIENT information in your feedback. All feedback is helpful, you can send short or detailed feedback.

This report has been developed to automatically identify prescribing patterns at a chemical level which are furthest away from “typical prescribing” and can be classified as an “outlier”. We calculate the number of prescriptions for each chemical in the BNF coding system, the count of all prescriptions within that chemical's BNF subparagraph, for prescriptions dispensed between June 2021 and December 2021. We then calculate the ratio of these counts along with the mean and standard deviation of those ratios across all PCNs. From this we can calculate the “z-score”, which is a measure of how many standard deviations a given PCN is from the population mean. We then rank your “z-scores” to find the top 10 results where prescribing is an outlier for prescribing higher than its peers and those where it is an outlier for prescribing lower than its peers.

For each outlier chemical, a kernel density estimation plot of all PCN's chemical:subparagraph ratios is provided, with this PCN's ratio overlaid in red.

It is important to remember that this information was generated automatically and it is therefore likely that some of the behaviour is warranted. This report seeks only to collect information about where this variation may be warranted and where it might not, to inform research on this topic. Our full analytical method code is openly available on GitHub here.

This is a new, experimental feature. We'd love to .

Prescribing where Cheltenham Peripheral PCN is higher than most

BNF Chemical Chemical Items BNF Subparagraph Subparagraph Items Ratio Mean std Z_Score Plots
Dequalinium chloride 6 Vaginal and vulval infections 239 0.03 0.00 0.00 8.92
Yellow fever 1 Vaccines and antisera 17,133 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.32
Ketotifen fumarate 28 Antihistamines 3,973 0.01 0.00 0.00 5.51
Sterculia 142 Bulk-forming laxatives 539 0.26 0.04 0.04 5.24
Saxagliptin 530 Other antidiabetic drugs 5,370 0.10 0.01 0.02 5.19
Benzalkonium chloride 46 Shampoos and some other scalp preparations 246 0.19 0.04 0.03 4.90
Magnesium lactate 7 Magnesium 39 0.18 0.01 0.04 4.32
Prazosin hydrochloride 79 Alpha-adrenoceptor blocking drugs 2,542 0.03 0.00 0.01 4.19
Valsartan 878 Angiotensin-II receptor antagonists 13,343 0.07 0.02 0.01 4.18
Rivaroxaban 10,308 Oral anticoagulants 15,947 0.65 0.24 0.10 3.95

Prescribing where Cheltenham Peripheral PCN is lower than most

BNF Chemical Chemical Items BNF Subparagraph Subparagraph Items Ratio Mean std Z_Score Plots
Ispaghula husk 397 Bulk-forming laxatives 539 0.74 0.96 0.04 -5.19
Sodium cromoglicate 68 Other anti-inflammatory preparations 245 0.28 0.64 0.12 -3.16
Senna 1,619 Stimulant laxatives 6,895 0.23 0.56 0.11 -3.02
Benzydamine hydrochloride 55 Drugs for oral ulceration and inflammation 84 0.65 0.85 0.08 -2.57
Lactulose 355 Osmotic laxatives 3,775 0.09 0.27 0.07 -2.47
Hydrocortisone 58 Copound haemorrhoidal preparations with corticosteroid 434 0.13 0.56 0.18 -2.33
Estradiol with progestogen 809 Oestrogens and Hormone Replacement Therapy 3,613 0.22 0.38 0.07 -2.24
Salicylic acid 8 Preparations for warts and calluses 47 0.17 0.65 0.22 -2.22
Doxazosin mesilate 2,459 Alpha-adrenoceptor blocking drugs 2,542 0.97 0.99 0.01 -2.17
Insulin aspart 765 Short-acting insulins 1,253 0.61 0.79 0.09 -2.12