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Prototype Prescribing Outlier Dashboard for Forest Heath PCN

At OpenPrescribing we are piloting a number of data-driven approaches to identify unusual prescribing and collect feedback on this prescribing to inform development of new tools to support prescribers and organisations to audit and review prescribing. These pilot results are provided for the interest of advanced users, although we don't know how relevant they are in practice. There is substantial variation in prescribing behaviours, across various different areas of medicine. Some variation can be explained by demographic changes, or local policies or guidelines, but much of the remaining variation is less easy to explain.

The DataLab is keen to hear your feedback on the results. You can do this by completing the following survey or emailing us at [email protected]. Please DO NOT INCLUDE IDENTIFIABLE PATIENT information in your feedback. All feedback is helpful, you can send short or detailed feedback.

This report has been developed to automatically identify prescribing patterns at a chemical level which are furthest away from “typical prescribing” and can be classified as an “outlier”. We calculate the number of prescriptions for each chemical in the BNF coding system, the count of all prescriptions within that chemical's BNF subparagraph, for prescriptions dispensed between June 2021 and December 2021. We then calculate the ratio of these counts along with the mean and standard deviation of those ratios across all PCNs. From this we can calculate the “z-score”, which is a measure of how many standard deviations a given PCN is from the population mean. We then rank your “z-scores” to find the top 10 results where prescribing is an outlier for prescribing higher than its peers and those where it is an outlier for prescribing lower than its peers.

For each outlier chemical, a kernel density estimation plot of all PCN's chemical:subparagraph ratios is provided, with this PCN's ratio overlaid in red.

It is important to remember that this information was generated automatically and it is therefore likely that some of the behaviour is warranted. This report seeks only to collect information about where this variation may be warranted and where it might not, to inform research on this topic. Our full analytical method code is openly available on GitHub here.

This is a new, experimental feature. We'd love to .

Prescribing where Forest Heath PCN is higher than most

BNF Chemical Chemical Items BNF Subparagraph Subparagraph Items Ratio Mean std Z_Score Plots
Cloral betaine 15 Hypnotics 5,591 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.77
Diphenhydramine hydrochloride 1 Expectorant and demulcent cough preparations 12 0.08 0.00 0.01 16.34
Phenol 5 Preparations for minor cuts and abrasions 7 0.71 0.01 0.07 10.51
Sodium chloride 1 Alcohols and saline 1 1.00 0.01 0.10 10.26
Imatinib mesilate 4 Other antineoplastic drugs 70 0.06 0.00 0.01 8.67
Meptazinol hydrochloride 1,342 Opioid analgesics 18,953 0.07 0.00 0.01 6.75
Ibuprofen sodium dihydrate 2 Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs 7,689 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.34
Tiagabine 32 Control of epilepsy 25,231 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.29
Hydrogen peroxide 1 Oxidisers and dyes 1 1.00 0.06 0.19 4.99
Voriconazole 10 Triazole antifungals 583 0.02 0.00 0.00 4.46

Prescribing where Forest Heath PCN is lower than most

BNF Chemical Chemical Items BNF Subparagraph Subparagraph Items Ratio Mean std Z_Score Plots
Potassium permanganate 0 Oxidisers and dyes 1 0.00 0.94 0.19 -4.96
    Nitrofurantoin 3,053 Urinary-tract infections 4,040 0.76 0.96 0.05 -4.10
    Alcohol 0 Alcohols and saline 1 0.00 0.87 0.33 -2.62
      Naproxen 4,170 Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs 7,689 0.54 0.69 0.06 -2.37
      Other phosphate supplement preparations 24 Phosphate supplements 28 0.86 0.99 0.07 -1.81
      Mirtazapine 9,176 Other antidepressant drugs 21,082 0.44 0.56 0.07 -1.80
      Alginic acid compound preparations 2,416 Compound Alginates and proprietary indigestion preparations 2,451 0.99 1.00 0.01 -1.76
      Medroxyprogesterone acetate 0 Progestogens 23 0.00 0.65 0.41 -1.59
        Umeclidinium bromide/vilanterol 202 Compound bronchodilator preparations 1,702 0.12 0.50 0.25 -1.53
        Dexamethasone 826 Otitis externa 1,235 0.67 0.78 0.07 -1.52