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Prototype Prescribing Outlier Dashboard for Scarborough Core PCN

At OpenPrescribing we are piloting a number of data-driven approaches to identify unusual prescribing and collect feedback on this prescribing to inform development of new tools to support prescribers and organisations to audit and review prescribing. These pilot results are provided for the interest of advanced users, although we don't know how relevant they are in practice. There is substantial variation in prescribing behaviours, across various different areas of medicine. Some variation can be explained by demographic changes, or local policies or guidelines, but much of the remaining variation is less easy to explain.

The DataLab is keen to hear your feedback on the results. You can do this by completing the following survey or emailing us at [email protected]. Please DO NOT INCLUDE IDENTIFIABLE PATIENT information in your feedback. All feedback is helpful, you can send short or detailed feedback.

This report has been developed to automatically identify prescribing patterns at a chemical level which are furthest away from “typical prescribing” and can be classified as an “outlier”. We calculate the number of prescriptions for each chemical in the BNF coding system, the count of all prescriptions within that chemical's BNF subparagraph, for prescriptions dispensed between June 2021 and December 2021. We then calculate the ratio of these counts along with the mean and standard deviation of those ratios across all PCNs. From this we can calculate the “z-score”, which is a measure of how many standard deviations a given PCN is from the population mean. We then rank your “z-scores” to find the top 10 results where prescribing is an outlier for prescribing higher than its peers and those where it is an outlier for prescribing lower than its peers.

For each outlier chemical, a kernel density estimation plot of all PCN's chemical:subparagraph ratios is provided, with this PCN's ratio overlaid in red.

It is important to remember that this information was generated automatically and it is therefore likely that some of the behaviour is warranted. This report seeks only to collect information about where this variation may be warranted and where it might not, to inform research on this topic. Our full analytical method code is openly available on GitHub here.

This is a new, experimental feature. We'd love to .

Prescribing where Scarborough Core PCN is higher than most

BNF Chemical Chemical Items BNF Subparagraph Subparagraph Items Ratio Mean std Z_Score Plots
Nimodipine 28 Calcium-channel blockers 25,867 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.92
Flurbiprofen sodium 3 Other anti-inflammatory preparations 390 0.01 0.00 0.00 9.47
Saxagliptin/dapagliflozin 95 Other antidiabetic drugs 5,790 0.02 0.00 0.00 7.82
Brinzolamide and timolol 476 Treatment of glaucoma 5,828 0.08 0.02 0.01 4.31
Taurine 42 Amino acids and nutritional agents 60 0.70 0.04 0.16 4.10
Apomorphine hydrochloride hemihydrate 11 Dopaminergic drugs used in parkinsonism 2,541 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.79
Dabigatran etexilate 927 Oral anticoagulants 12,730 0.07 0.02 0.01 3.64
Bimatoprost 1,651 Treatment of glaucoma 5,828 0.28 0.11 0.05 3.51
Carvedilol 1,169 Beta-adrenoceptor blocking drugs 25,917 0.05 0.01 0.01 3.41
Loteprednol etabonate 27 Corticosteroids 273 0.10 0.02 0.03 2.95

Prescribing where Scarborough Core PCN is lower than most

BNF Chemical Chemical Items BNF Subparagraph Subparagraph Items Ratio Mean std Z_Score Plots
Other amino acidandnutritional agent preparations 18 Amino acids and nutritional agents 60 0.30 0.96 0.16 -4.10
Baclofen 679 Skeletal muscle relaxants 1,260 0.54 0.81 0.12 -2.33
Combined ethinylestradiol 35mcg 25 Combined hormonal contraceptives 1,651 0.02 0.05 0.02 -1.96
Zinc sulfate monohydrate 2 Zinc 20 0.10 0.74 0.33 -1.95
Lithium carbonate 238 Drugs used for mania and hypomania 840 0.28 0.62 0.18 -1.89
Emollient bath and shower preparations 78 Emollient bath and shower preparations 197 0.40 0.64 0.13 -1.88
Tadalafil 260 Drugs for erectile dysfunction 2,538 0.10 0.19 0.05 -1.81
Dexamethasone 52 Corticosteroids 273 0.19 0.49 0.17 -1.78
Co-amoxiclav (Amoxicillin/clavulanic acid) 293 Broad-spectrum penicillins 4,759 0.06 0.15 0.05 -1.76
Ramipril 12,115 Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors 26,281 0.46 0.70 0.14 -1.74