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Prototype Prescribing Outlier Dashboard for Forty Willows Surgery

At OpenPrescribing we are piloting a number of data-driven approaches to identify unusual prescribing and collect feedback on this prescribing to inform development of new tools to support prescribers and organisations to audit and review prescribing. These pilot results are provided for the interest of advanced users, although we don't know how relevant they are in practice. There is substantial variation in prescribing behaviours, across various different areas of medicine. Some variation can be explained by demographic changes, or local policies or guidelines, but much of the remaining variation is less easy to explain.

The DataLab is keen to hear your feedback on the results. You can do this by completing the following survey or emailing us at [email protected]. Please DO NOT INCLUDE IDENTIFIABLE PATIENT information in your feedback. All feedback is helpful, you can send short or detailed feedback.

This report has been developed to automatically identify prescribing patterns at a chemical level which are furthest away from “typical prescribing” and can be classified as an “outlier”. We calculate the number of prescriptions for each chemical in the BNF coding system, the count of all prescriptions within that chemical's BNF subparagraph, for prescriptions dispensed between June 2021 and December 2021. We then calculate the ratio of these counts along with the mean and standard deviation of those ratios across all Practices. From this we can calculate the “z-score”, which is a measure of how many standard deviations a given Practice is from the population mean. We then rank your “z-scores” to find the top 10 results where prescribing is an outlier for prescribing higher than its peers and those where it is an outlier for prescribing lower than its peers.

For each outlier chemical, a kernel density estimation plot of all Practice's chemical:subparagraph ratios is provided, with this Practice's ratio overlaid in red.

It is important to remember that this information was generated automatically and it is therefore likely that some of the behaviour is warranted. This report seeks only to collect information about where this variation may be warranted and where it might not, to inform research on this topic. Our full analytical method code is openly available on GitHub here.

This is a new, experimental feature. We'd love to .

Prescribing where Forty Willows Surgery is higher than most

BNF Chemical Chemical Items BNF Subparagraph Subparagraph Items Ratio Mean std Z_Score Plots
Doxepin 24 Tricyclic and related antidepressant drugs 424 0.06 0.00 0.00 14.53
Hyoscine 44 Drugs used in nausea and vertigo 184 0.24 0.02 0.02 9.40
Citalopram hydrochloride 16 Selective serotonin re-uptake inhibitors 1,048 0.02 0.00 0.00 6.16
Hydrocortisone 11 Otitis externa 78 0.14 0.01 0.02 5.90
Wool alcohols 20 Emollients 446 0.04 0.00 0.01 5.44
Rutosides 4 Peripheral vasodilators and related drugs 4 1.00 0.06 0.19 4.97
Paraffin soft white 11 Emollients 446 0.02 0.00 0.01 4.55
Paroxetine hydrochloride 116 Selective serotonin re-uptake inhibitors 1,048 0.11 0.03 0.02 4.53
Nicardipine hydrochloride 7 Calcium-channel blockers 2,034 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.62
Deflazacort 3 Use of corticosteroids 241 0.01 0.00 0.00 3.50

Prescribing where Forty Willows Surgery is lower than most

BNF Chemical Chemical Items BNF Subparagraph Subparagraph Items Ratio Mean std Z_Score Plots
Medroxyprogesterone acetate 3 Parenteral progestogen-only contraceptives 7 0.43 0.88 0.15 -2.95
Amitriptyline hydrochloride 285 Tricyclic and related antidepressant drugs 424 0.67 0.84 0.08 -2.23
Co-amilofruse (Amiloride hydrochloride/frusemide) 0 Potassium sparing diuretics and compounds 1 0.00 0.69 0.33 -2.10
    Diazepam 152 Anxiolytics 317 0.48 0.75 0.13 -2.06
    Urea hydrogen peroxide 1 Removal of ear wax and other substances 5 0.20 0.83 0.33 -1.92
    Oral rehydration salts 2 Oral sodium and water 12 0.17 0.71 0.29 -1.85
    Sodium cromoglicate 21 Other anti-inflammatory preparations 70 0.30 0.64 0.19 -1.81
    Sodium chloride 0 Topical nasal decongestants 15 0.00 0.54 0.30 -1.79
      Citalopram hydrobromide 179 Selective serotonin re-uptake inhibitors 1,048 0.17 0.32 0.08 -1.76
      Betahistine hydrochloride 14 Drugs used in nausea and vertigo 184 0.08 0.27 0.11 -1.76